NK Osijekvs
NK Slaven Belupo
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 8/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NK Osijek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NK Osijek 3-0 NK Slaven Belupo
Original prediction
NK Osijek
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.7% | 51.8% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.3% | 25.2% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.58 | 20.0% | 23.0% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
NK Osijek
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
NK Osijek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80