NK Osijekvs
Istra 1961
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 10/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NK Osijek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NK Osijek 1-3 Istra 1961
Original prediction
NK Osijek
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 46.6% | 54.8% | 8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 26.1% | 21.4% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 3.37 | 27.3% | 23.8% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
NK Osijek
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
NK Osijek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00