NK Osijekvs
HNK Gorica
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NK Osijek · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NK Osijek 1-1 HNK Gorica
Original prediction
NK Osijek
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.6% | 67.7% | 12.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 24.2% | 18.8% | -5.4 pts |
| Away | 4.54 | 20.2% | 13.5% | -6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.79 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
NK Osijek
Probability
67.7%
Model confidence
67.7%
NK Osijek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60