NK Osijekvs
Dinamo Zagreb
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 9/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Zagreb · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NK Osijek 4-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Original prediction
Dinamo Zagreb
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.22 | 14.8% | 34.7% | 19.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.43 | 20.8% | 26.2% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 64.3% | 39.1% | -25.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Zagreb
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Dinamo Zagreb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20