NK Osijekvs
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NK Osijek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NK Osijek 1-1 Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Original prediction
NK Osijek
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.7% | 49.0% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.1% | 25.1% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 4.96 | 18.2% | 25.9% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
NK Osijek
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
NK Osijek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00