NK Lokomotiva Zagrebvs
Istra 1961
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Istra 1961 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0 Istra 1961
Original prediction
Istra 1961
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 40.1% | 27.7% | -12.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.3% | 21.5% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 33.6% | 50.8% | 17.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Istra 1961
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Istra 1961 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80