Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GrIFK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NJS 2-1 GrIFK
Original prediction
GrIFK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.97 | 18.2% | 15.9% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.68 | 19.3% | 17.6% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 62.5% | 66.5% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
GrIFK
Probability
66.5%
Model confidence
66.5%
GrIFK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NJSWLLLL
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
GrIFKDWWLW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
NJSGrIFK
24.6Attack42.1
5.3Defence43.9
7.0Form43.9
15.6Power45.6
1.04xG2.39