Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EBK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NJS 3-0 EBK
Original prediction
EBK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.00 | 15.1% | 21.1% | 6.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.18 | 17.5% | 21.4% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 1.34 | 67.5% | 57.4% | -10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
EBK
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
EBK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NJSLLWWL
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
EBKDWDDL
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
NJSEBK
27.3Attack51.5
6.1Defence30.3
10.6Form31.8
18.0Power38.7
1.33xG2.83