NJ/NY Gotham FC Wvs
Portland Thorns W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 8/29/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NJ/NY Gotham FC W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: NJ/NY Gotham FC W 1-0 Portland Thorns W, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
NJ/NY Gotham FC W 1-1 Portland Thorns W
Original prediction
NJ/NY Gotham FC W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 62.5% | 45.6% | -16.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 21.4% | 28.5% | 7.1 pts |
| Away | 5.57 | 16.1% | 26.0% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.9 pts
Projected Score
NJ/NY Gotham FC W 1–0 Portland Thorns W
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
NJ/NY Gotham FC W
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
NJ/NY Gotham FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20