GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/29/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

NJ/NY Gotham FC W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

NJ/NY Gotham FC W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Portland Thorns W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and NJ/NY Gotham FC W hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (66.6 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the NWSL Women, while NJ/NY Gotham FC W holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

NJ/NY Gotham FC W

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

14.8%

NJ/NY Gotham FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NJ/NY Gotham FC WWWWWD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Portland Thorns WWLDLL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NJ/NY Gotham FC WPortland Thorns W
43.3Attack56.1
78.3Defence50.9
71.7Form54.4
66.6Power54.6
1.42xG0.77
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