GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 3/21/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

NJ/NY Gotham FC W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

NJ/NY Gotham FC W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while North Carolina Courage W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and NJ/NY Gotham FC W hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (66.6 v 55.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the NWSL Women, while NJ/NY Gotham FC W holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

NJ/NY Gotham FC W

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

14.2%

NJ/NY Gotham FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NJ/NY Gotham FC WWWWWL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
North Carolina Courage WWWWDL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
NJ/NY Gotham FC WNorth Carolina Courage W
43.3Attack59.3
78.3Defence51.9
71.7Form55.6
66.6Power55.8
1.39xG0.81
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