NJ/NY Gotham FC Wvs
Chicago Red Stars W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/26/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NJ/NY Gotham FC W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: NJ/NY Gotham FC W 2-0 Chicago Red Stars W, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
NJ/NY Gotham FC W 3-1 Chicago Red Stars W
Original prediction
NJ/NY Gotham FC W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.10 | 82.0% | 82.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 7.71 | 11.7% | 13.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 14.52 | 6.2% | 4.4% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Projected Score
NJ/NY Gotham FC W 2–0 Chicago Red Stars W
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
NJ/NY Gotham FC W
Probability
82.5%
Model confidence
82.5%
NJ/NY Gotham FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 18 · avg 1.00/3.60