GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 10/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

NJ/NY Gotham FC W · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: NJ/NY Gotham FC W 0-0 Angel City W, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

NJ/NY Gotham FC W 1-1 Angel City W

Original prediction

NJ/NY Gotham FC W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7750.9%43.7%-7.3 pts
Draw3.6124.9%29.0%4.0 pts
Away3.7424.1%27.4%3.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.61 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.3 pts

Projected Score

NJ/NY Gotham FC W 0–0 Angel City W

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

NJ/NY Gotham FC W

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

NJ/NY Gotham FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NJ/NY Gotham FC WWWWLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Angel City WWWWDW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
NJ/NY Gotham FC WAngel City W
43.6Attack56.4
74.4Defence64.1
69.2Form53.8
64.5Power58.6
1.03xG0.79
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