1. Deild
Njardvik
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Throttur Reykjavik
AwayThe model projects 1.55 xG for Njardvik and 1.29 xG for Throttur Reykjavik — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.26), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Njardvik's Attack Score (83) exceeds Throttur Reykjavik's Defensive Stability (66), and Throttur Reykjavik's attack (18) similarly tests Njardvik's defence (11). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.
The model projects a combined xG of 2.85 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. The xG distribution places the most weight on scorelines that clear 2.5, though the margin above the threshold is not large.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Njardvik's Attack Score (83) vs Throttur Reykjavik's Defensive Stability (66) and Throttur Reykjavik's attack (18) vs Njardvik's defence (11) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesNjardvikThrottur ReykjavikProbability breakdown
Throttur Reykjavik leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Throttur Reykjavik Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-2
Njardvik take on Throttur Reykjavik in 1. Deild.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Njardvik enter this fixture with a significantly stronger Momentum Score (67 vs 17). Momentum captures the trajectory of recent performances — not just results, but the underlying quality of those performances. Njardvik are trending upward while Throttur Reykjavik have been less consistent, and that gap is the primary driver of this projection.
Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Njardvik, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Throttur Reykjavik score first, the game becomes genuinely open.
Risk factors
- ⚠Njardvik have been conceding 1.78 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
- ⚠These sides have drawn 2 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
- ⚠The xG gap is narrow at 0.26 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
Head to head
Recent form
Njardvik
Throttur Reykjavik
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Njardvik vs Throttur Reykjavik?
GoalVio's model predicts Throttur Reykjavik to win with 46% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Njardvik vs Throttur Reykjavik?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.
Will both teams score in Njardvik vs Throttur Reykjavik?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Njardvik vs Throttur Reykjavik?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.