Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Njardvik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Njardvik are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ægir are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Njardvik hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 24.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the 1. Deild, while Njardvik holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Njardvik
Probability
84.5%
Model confidence
10.8%
Njardvik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00