Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Njardvik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Njardvik are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fylkir are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 58.6 against 59.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the 1. Deild, while Njardvik holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Njardvik
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
9.4%
Njardvik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60