Njardvikvs
Afturelding
COMPLETEDIceland · 1. Deild · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Afturelding · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Njardvik 2-1 Afturelding
Original prediction
Afturelding
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 31.4% | 37.4% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.9% | 20.0% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 45.7% | 42.7% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.98 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Afturelding
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Afturelding has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00