GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 7/22/2023, 12:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zenit · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Nizhny Novgorod are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Zenit are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Zenit hold a 58.3-point power-rating edge (39.7 v 98.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Premier League, while Zenit holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Zenit

Probability

58.9%

Model confidence

58.9%

Zenit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nizhny NovgorodLWWLD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ZenitDLWDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nizhny NovgorodZenit
33.3Attack100.0
44.8Defence100.0
34.4Form100.0
39.7Power98.0
0.80xG1.87
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