Nizhny Novgorodvs
Zenit
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 7/22/2023, 12:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zenit · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Nizhny Novgorod are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Zenit are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Zenit hold a 58.3-point power-rating edge (39.7 v 98.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Premier League, while Zenit holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zenit
Probability
58.9%
Model confidence
58.9%
Zenit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40