GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 7/25/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dynamo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nizhny Novgorod are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dynamo are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dynamo hold a 57.9-point power-rating edge (22.5 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Cup, while Dynamo holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dynamo

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nizhny NovgorodLLWWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
DynamoLWWWW

GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Nizhny NovgorodDynamo
33.3Attack33.3
16.7Defence100.0
5.6Form100.0
22.5Power80.3
0.98xG1.91
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