Nizhny Novgorodvs
Dynamo
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 7/25/2023, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dynamo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Nizhny Novgorod are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dynamo are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dynamo hold a 57.9-point power-rating edge (22.5 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Cup, while Dynamo holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dynamo
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40