Nizhny Novgorod U19vs
Zenit U19
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 10/23/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zenit U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (10%), 0-4 (10%), 1-5 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nizhny Novgorod U19 1-2 Zenit U19
Original prediction
Zenit U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.52 | 12.0% | 8.6% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.23 | 17.3% | 11.8% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 1.28 | 70.7% | 79.7% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–410%
- 2.0–410%
- 3.1–59%
Predicted outcome
Zenit U19
Probability
79.7%
Model confidence
79.7%
Zenit U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20
GF 20 · GA 5 · avg 4.00/1.00