Nizhny Novgorod U19vs
Rostov U19
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 10/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rostov U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nizhny Novgorod U19 2-1 Rostov U19
Original prediction
Rostov U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.66 | 24.7% | 23.3% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.2% | 20.2% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 1.73 | 52.1% | 56.5% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Rostov U19
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Rostov U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00