Nizhny Novgorod U19vs
Fakel U19
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 8/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fakel U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nizhny Novgorod U19 0-0 Fakel U19
Original prediction
Fakel U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.8% | 37.4% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.3% | 24.9% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 30.0% | 37.8% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Fakel U19
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Fakel U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20