GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 8/28/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fakel U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Nizhny Novgorod U19 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Fakel U19 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fakel U19 hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (29.7 v 33.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.5% in the Youth Championship, while Fakel U19 holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fakel U19

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

8.5%

Fakel U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nizhny Novgorod U19WLLLW

GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Fakel U19DDLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Nizhny Novgorod U19Fakel U19
42.6Attack40.7
9.3Defence29.6
27.8Form20.4
29.7Power33.3
1.97xG1.99
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