Nizhny Novgorod U19vs
Chertanovo U20
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 9/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chertanovo U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nizhny Novgorod U19 4-3 Chertanovo U20
Original prediction
Chertanovo U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 34.7% | 34.7% | 0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.9% | 25.5% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 39.3% | 39.8% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Chertanovo U20
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Chertanovo U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80