Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Niva 4-0 Volna
Original prediction
Niva
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Niva
Probability
57.8%
Model confidence
57.8%
Niva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NivaLWWWL
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
VolnaLLWLL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
NivaVolna
75.9Attack63.0
63.0Defence46.3
66.7Form55.6
67.4Power56.6
2.74xG1.25