Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Niva are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Lida are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Niva hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (67.4 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.0% in the 1. Division, while Niva holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Niva
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
Niva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40