CoppaCoppa
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 15:01
Niva

Niva

Home
DW
23
Full time
FC Gomel

FC Gomel

Away
W
City Stadium
GoalVio prediction
69% confidence
Niva(69%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Niva
69%
Draw
21%
FC Gomel
9%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Niva
97
FC Gomel
34
Defence
Niva
66
FC Gomel
91
Momentum
Niva
67
FC Gomel
100
Danger (xG)
Niva
3.15
FC Gomel
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Niva)
3.15
avg per match
xG for (FC Gomel)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Niva)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (FC Gomel)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
NivaNiva
DW
FC GomelFC Gomel
WDWL

Probability breakdown

69% confidence
Niva69%
Draw21%
FC Gomel9%

Niva leads with 69% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Niva head into this in Coppa fixture at City Stadium in mixed form (DW), while FC Gomel arrive in mixed form (W). Niva have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for FC Gomel over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Niva (66/100) and FC Gomel (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Niva have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 5.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. FC Gomel have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Niva and FC Gomel in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Niva to win with 69% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Niva 6947%, Draw 2115%, FC Gomel 938%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Niva

Niva

D
@ Slonim
10 Jul 2026
22
W
vs BATE II
4 Jul 2026
50
FC Gomel

FC Gomel

W
@ Bate Borisov
2 Jul 2026
10
D
@ Arsenal
26 Jun 2026
11
W
vs FC Dnepr Mogilev
20 Jun 2026
20
L
vs Baranovichi
14 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Niva vs FC Gomel?

GoalVio's model predicts Niva to win with 69% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Niva vs FC Gomel?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Niva vs FC Gomel?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Niva vs FC Gomel?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more