GGOALVIO

Slovakia · 3. liga - West · 9/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nitra · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Nitra 4-0 Slovan Duslo Šaľa

Original prediction

Nitra

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.1181.0%56.5%-24.5 pts
Draw7.1012.7%23.4%10.8 pts
Away14.216.3%20.1%13.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-24.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–013%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.1–110%

Predicted outcome

Nitra

Probability

56.5%

Model confidence

56.5%

Nitra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NitraWLWWW

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Slovan Duslo ŠaľaDLDDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
NitraSlovan Duslo Šaľa
100.0Attack33.3
80.0Defence60.0
100.0Form33.3
92.1Power44.0
2.20xG0.77
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