Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nitra · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%), 4-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nitra 6-0 Rača
Original prediction
Nitra
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.16 | 77.8% | 63.6% | -14.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.46 | 14.0% | 19.9% | 5.9 pts |
| Away | 10.90 | 8.3% | 16.5% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–012%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.4–010%
Predicted outcome
Nitra
Probability
63.6%
Model confidence
63.6%
Nitra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NitraWWWLW
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
RačaDDWDL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NitraRača
100.0Attack48.1
74.1Defence44.4
92.6Form37.0
87.3Power46.1
3.20xG0.71