Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nitra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Nitra are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Častkovce are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nitra hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the 3. liga - West, while Nitra holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nitra
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
12.3%
Nitra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20