GGOALVIO

Brazil · Carioca B2 · 10/13/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Niteroiense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Niteroiense are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Carapebus are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Niteroiense hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the Carioca B2, while Niteroiense holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Niteroiense

Probability

35.4%

Model confidence

35.4%

Niteroiense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NiteroienseDW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
CarapebusWW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 2.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
NiteroienseCarapebus
59.0Attack61.5
56.4Defence61.5
61.5Form51.3
59.6Power56.9
1.48xG1.45
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