GGOALVIO

Iran · Azadegan League · 10/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Niroye Zamini 0-0 Shenavarsazi Qeshm, with an exact score probability of 28%.

Prediction record

Final result

Niroye Zamini 1-2 Shenavarsazi Qeshm

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.5125.9%27.6%1.7 pts
Draw2.8332.1%33.5%1.3 pts
Away2.1742.0%39.0%-3.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.3 pts

Projected Score

Niroye Zamini 0–0 Shenavarsazi Qeshm

Exact score probability: 28%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

33.5%

Model confidence

39.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Niroye ZaminiLLDLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shenavarsazi QeshmWWWDD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Niroye ZaminiShenavarsazi Qeshm
16.7Attack27.8
55.6Defence88.9
22.2Form66.7
34.5Power64.8
0.47xG0.83
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