GGOALVIO

Iran · Azadegan League · 10/5/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Niroye Zamini 0-0 Mes Kerman, with an exact score probability of 24%.

Prediction record

Final result

Niroye Zamini 0-0 Mes Kerman

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5635.9%36.0%0.2 pts
Draw2.8532.3%33.3%1.0 pts
Away2.9031.8%30.6%-1.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.85 · Draw 1.85 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.0 pts

Projected Score

Niroye Zamini 0–0 Mes Kerman

Exact score probability: 24%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

33.3%

Model confidence

36.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Niroye ZaminiLLWLD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Mes KermanDLDWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Niroye ZaminiMes Kerman
22.2Attack22.2
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form22.2
43.7Power40.2
0.80xG0.66
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