Niroye Zaminivs
Fard Alborz
COMPLETEDIran · Azadegan League · 9/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Niroye Zamini 0-0 Fard Alborz, with an exact score probability of 58%.
Prediction record
Final result
Niroye Zamini 0-1 Fard Alborz
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 35.5% | 25.5% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.72 | 32.8% | 47.8% | 15.1 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 31.7% | 26.7% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.1 pts
Projected Score
Niroye Zamini 0–0 Fard Alborz
Exact score probability: 58%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Niroye ZaminiWLDLL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Fard AlborzDDLWW
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Niroye ZaminiFard Alborz
19.6Attack23.5
78.4Defence85.3
36.3Form45.1
46.7Power52.5
0.27xG0.29