GGOALVIO

France · Ligue 3 · 8/25/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Niort · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Niort are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LWWD), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Villefranche are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Niort hold a 34.9-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.0% in the Ligue 3, while Niort holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Niort

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

57.0%

Niort has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NiortLWWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.25/1.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
VillefrancheWDLWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NiortVillefranche
56.9Attack66.7
58.8Defence0.0
56.9Form0.0
58.6Power23.7
1.97xG0.96
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