Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niort · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Niort are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Avranches are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (DDLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Niort hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.5% in the Ligue 3, while Niort holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Niort
Probability
66.5%
Model confidence
66.5%
Niort has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.50/1.75