Ningbo Professionalvs
Shaanxi Union
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shaanxi Union · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ningbo Professional 1-0 Shaanxi Union
Original prediction
Shaanxi Union
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 30.4% | 28.6% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.1% | 26.6% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 41.6% | 44.8% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Shaanxi Union
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Shaanxi Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80