Ningbo Professionalvs
Nanjing City
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 10/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ningbo Professional · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ningbo Professional 1-0 Nanjing City, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ningbo Professional 0-0 Nanjing City
Original prediction
Ningbo Professional
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.7% | 43.7% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.1% | 30.5% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.2% | 25.8% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.99 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Projected Score
Ningbo Professional 1–0 Nanjing City
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Ningbo Professional
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Ningbo Professional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60