GGOALVIO

China · League One · 8/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ningbo Professional · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Ningbo Professional 1-1 Meizhou Kejia

Original prediction

Ningbo Professional

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8449.3%62.5%13.2 pts
Draw3.3926.8%21.3%-5.5 pts
Away3.8123.9%16.2%-7.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

13.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–013%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.1–111%

Predicted outcome

Ningbo Professional

Probability

62.5%

Model confidence

62.5%

Ningbo Professional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ningbo ProfessionalLDLLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Meizhou KejiaLLWLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ningbo ProfessionalMeizhou Kejia
43.9Attack33.3
56.1Defence33.3
49.1Form33.3
51.7Power36.2
1.96xG0.77
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