GGOALVIO

China · League One · 5/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ningbo Professional · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ningbo Professional are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Changchun Yatai are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ningbo Professional hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the League One, while Ningbo Professional holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ningbo Professional

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

50.4%

Ningbo Professional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ningbo ProfessionalWDLLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Changchun YataiLWWWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ningbo ProfessionalChangchun Yatai
45.1Attack50.0
56.9Defence37.0
52.9Form42.6
53.6Power45.4
1.87xG1.15
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