Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Martigues · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Nimes are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Martigues are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DDW), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Martigues hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Ligue 3, while Martigues holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Martigues
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Martigues has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.33/1.00