Nilüfer Belediyevs
Bursa Yıldırımspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 3. Lig - Group 2 · 9/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nilüfer Belediye · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nilüfer Belediye 0-0 Bursa Yıldırımspor
Original prediction
Nilüfer Belediye
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 32.2% | 36.7% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.7% | 28.5% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 40.1% | 34.8% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Nilüfer Belediye
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Nilüfer Belediye has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00