GGOALVIO

Greece · Super League 2 · 9/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Niki Volos · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Niki Volos 2-0 Nestos Chrisoupolis

Original prediction

Niki Volos

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2970.7%44.7%-25.9 pts
Draw4.3720.8%27.5%6.7 pts
Away10.668.5%27.8%19.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-26.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–013%
  3. 3.1–011%

Predicted outcome

Niki Volos

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Niki Volos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Niki VolosLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Nestos ChrisoupolisLWLDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Niki VolosNestos Chrisoupolis
16.7Attack33.3
50.0Defence50.0
0.0Form16.7
26.7Power36.5
1.12xG1.06
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