Niki Volosvs
Asteras Tripolis
COMPLETEDGreece · Cup · 9/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niki Volos · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Niki Volos 0-3 Asteras Tripolis
Original prediction
Niki Volos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.85 | 23.6% | 36.9% | 13.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.7% | 28.0% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 47.8% | 35.1% | -12.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Niki Volos
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Niki Volos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60