Nijlenvs
Racing Mechelen
COMPLETEDBelgium · Second Amateur Division - VFV B · 10/11/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing Mechelen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nijlen 1-5 Racing Mechelen
Original prediction
Racing Mechelen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 32.9% | 31.3% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.2% | 27.9% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 40.9% | 40.9% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Racing Mechelen
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Racing Mechelen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60