Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nigeria W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Nigeria W are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 1.33 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Zambia W are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nigeria W hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Africa Cup of Nations - Women, while Nigeria W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nigeria W
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Nigeria W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 1.33/0.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.33