Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nigeria · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 12 October 2026 at 01:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Nigeria
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Nigeria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NigeriaDLWLD
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
TanzaniaDLLLW
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
NigeriaTanzania
33.3Attack16.7
33.3Defence50.0
50.0Form16.7
42.7Power31.3
1.31xG1.04