Niger Tornadoesvs
Plateau United
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 9/14/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niger Tornadoes · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Niger Tornadoes 1-1 Plateau United
Original prediction
Niger Tornadoes
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 63.2% | 45.5% | -17.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.7% | 28.2% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 8.18 | 11.1% | 26.3% | 15.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.52 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Niger Tornadoes
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Niger Tornadoes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80