Niger Tornadoesvs
Kun Khalifat FC
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 10/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niger Tornadoes · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Niger Tornadoes 1-0 Kun Khalifat FC, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Niger Tornadoes 1-0 Kun Khalifat FC
Original prediction
Niger Tornadoes
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.17 | 78.6% | 56.1% | -22.5 pts |
| Draw | 6.29 | 14.6% | 24.7% | 10.1 pts |
| Away | 13.56 | 6.8% | 19.2% | 12.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.5 pts
Projected Score
Niger Tornadoes 1–0 Kun Khalifat FC
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Niger Tornadoes
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
Niger Tornadoes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60