Niger Tornadoesvs
Ikorodu City
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 10/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Niger Tornadoes 0-0 Ikorodu City, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Niger Tornadoes 2-1 Ikorodu City
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.2% | 34.8% | -23.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.0% | 33.3% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 6.49 | 13.8% | 31.9% | 18.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Projected Score
Niger Tornadoes 0–0 Ikorodu City
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.3%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Niger TornadoesDWLDL
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.20/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Ikorodu CityWLDWL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
25.0Attack41.7
70.8Defence70.8
37.5Form50.0
47.4Power55.3
0.57xG0.75