Niendorfer TSVvs
Buchholz
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Hamburg · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niendorfer TSV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-3 (7%), 5-3 (6%), 3-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Niendorfer TSV 9-5 Buchholz
Original prediction
Niendorfer TSV
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 04:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 41.5% | 49.1% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.30 | 20.7% | 17.9% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 37.8% | 32.9% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–37%
- 2.5–36%
- 3.3–36%
Predicted outcome
Niendorfer TSV
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Niendorfer TSV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20
GF 9 · GA 18 · avg 1.80/3.60