Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NiemU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
NiemU are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while PEPO are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and PEPO hold a 31.4-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Suomen Cup, while NiemU holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
NiemU
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
9.2%
NiemU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80